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28/02/2019 Back To List
Jerusalem & the 2019 Israeli Elections Campaign

Jerusalem & the 2019 Israeli Elections Campaign:
Anticipating & Prioritizing Potential Israeli Government Actions in the Jerusalem Area

 

Like most people, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is a creature of habits - and one of those habits relates to how he uses the issue of Jerusalem in elections. In the past, Netanyahu has repeatedly used last-minute Jerusalem related events in order to energize his base. For example, in 1996, he engaged in the “Peres will divide Jerusalem” campaign in the last couple of weeks before elections (and he attributes his victory in no small part to this campaign). Likewise, in 1999, a week before elections, he attempted to close the Orient House (PLO headquarters in Jerusalem). In short, exploiting Jerusalem for electoral gain can be viewed as part of his electoral modus operandi.

In this context, and under normal circumstances, the potential would be high for a Netanyahu-led inflammatory Jerusalem-related event - for example, a move to strengthen Israel’s control over or foothold within East Jerusalem, or in adjacent areas of the West Bank - in the weeks or days before election day (April 9).

But these are not normal circumstances. Today, both the current domestic political atmosphere in Israel and the current international political dynamics around the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, raise this risk of such a move by Netanyahu is many magnitudes higher.


Factors in Play, Domestic & Foreign

Domestically, four factors are pushing Netanyahu to make a move in and/or around Jerusalem. These are:

  • The threat of an indictment. Netanyahu approaches these elections under the pall of a likely imminent criminal indictment; his goal as Israel goes to the polls will be to remain Prime Minister even under indictment. It is by now clear that, in the service of this goal, there is little if anything Netanyahu won’t do to galvanize and grow his political base -- as evidenced by the attacks Netanyahu and his allies are launching against the justice system, the police and the IDF, and most recently, by Netanyahu’s decision to join forces with Otzma Yehudit (Jewish Power), Israel’s furthest right-wing, openly racist, proudly extremist Kahanist political party.
     
  • Political competition. In these elections, there is a crowded field on Israel’s ideological right, with stiff competition for votes among the party lists. In the context of this competition, each list is claiming to be more favorable to the demands of settlers (West Bank and East Jerusalem alike), the Temple Mount movement, etc. His alliance with the Otzma Yehudit (Jewish Power) is itself a signal of the extraordinary lengths Netanyahu is prepared to go to win right-wing votes.
     
  • Right-Wing inflation. The hardline “Greater Israel” movement perceives the current political period to be one of unprecedented opportunity. The Israeli political leadership - from center Left to far Right - today embraces and defends the settlers and (to varying degrees) the settlement agenda. Settler leaders and voters are today pocketing this support as an entitlement, and telling the various lists, in effect: show us what else you’ve got.
     
  • Misdirection. Given the prospect of Palestinian succession becoming an acute issue, and the impasse regarding Palestinian unity between Fatah and Hamas, the potential for violence – even rogue violence – will likely increase as the elections approach. As Netanyahu desperately seeks to avoid a war in Gaza, his controversial steps towards Hamas are already being used against him by most of his political opponents. In this context, he will be looking for actions he can take to deflect criticism and shift focus to other issues (like Jerusalem).

Based on these factors, the potential for Netanyahu to decide to make a significant and highly provocative move on Jerusalem before the election is high. And internationally, the factors that militate against such a move by Netanyahu are not promising.


Specifically:

  • The US is far less willing to elicit restraint and responsibility from Israel. The traditional braking mechanisms that the U.S. in the past put in place in order to deter Netanyahu from engaging in some of the more problematic moves have for all intents and purposes been removed. The U.S. not only no longer objects to settlement-related initiatives in East Jerusalem or the West Bank, but it is viewed by many Israelis, not necessarily inaccurately, as being actively on-board with pro-settlement moves, including efforts to normalize settlements and occupation.
     
  • The EU is fractured (but can act in unity of purpose under extreme circumstances). At the same time, international pressure (never of great concern to Israeli right-wing voters and politicians) is now widely viewed, not without justification, as irrelevant to Israeli decisions vis-a-vis settlement-related matters. Divisions within the EU, carefully fueled by Netanyahu, render coherent, articulate European engagement on Israel-Palestine issues more difficult than in the past (although not impossible as demonstrated by the case of Khan Al Ahmar).
     
  • Israel-Sunni states rapprochement. Netanyahu’s (and the Trump Administration’s) strategy of using common fear/antagonism toward Iran as a lever to build stronger ties between Israel and Sunni states - totally disconnected from Israeli policies and actions vis-a-vis the Palestinians - has proven relatively successful. In the interests of building cooperation against Iran (as well as expanded commercial ties and military/security ties) and in the context of a growing fatigue towards the Palestinian issue, Sunni states are today more willing than at any time since 1948 to sacrifice Palestinian interests in order to give Israel a “pass” on many of its problematic policies [notably, so far the one limit on this has been Jerusalem, as was seen with actions and statements by Saudi Arabia related to the Trump Administration’s embassy move]
     
  • There are few responsible adults left (anywhere), with little energy to engage. With the liberal world order under assault globally, and with myriad challenges on both the national and international scale, today there are precious few who are willing to critically engage Israel on settlement-related issues, over the need to preserve the status quo on the Temple Mount, or on Israel-Palestine matters in general. Even for those still willing to engage, Israel-Palestine is not the highest priority, and there is very limited political capital that can be put in play.
 

Targets of Opportunity (aka, What to Watch Out For)

Back in January 2017, after the inauguration of the Trump Administration - anticipated by Israelis to be the most pro-settler US administration in history - we outlined the specific locations/projects of greatest concern regarding pending and likely plans for settlement activity in and immediately around East Jerusalem.
Since that time, some of these concerns have been fully realized: e.g., Trump changed U.S. policy to officially recognize Jerusalem (borders unspecified) as Israel’s capital; he announced he would and then carried out the transfer of the US embassy to Jerusalem and is closing down the US consulate there. The implementation of others is ongoing: e.g., aggressive
expansion of Jewish enclaves in the heart of Palestinian neighborhoods (primarily in Silwan and Sheikh Jarrar); accelerating the pace of the construction of E-2 (aka Givat Eitam); and the opening of the Apartheid road.

On the eve of Israel’s national elections and the possible launching of Trump’s so-called “peace plan,” concerns raised in January 2017 regarding the most sensitive and ambitious settlement and settlement-related projects are more relevant than ever. Below we highlight those of the most urgent concern, focusing our analysis on what we believe are both the most likely and the most problematic actions that may be taken by Netanyahu between now and election day. Our intention here is not to ignore or downplay the importance of more “routine” bad actions that have been taken or could be taken in the current context (some of which are, indeed, quite bad). That said, the common denominator to the issues on which we are focusing below is this: each is something of a banner under which the ideological right has decided to march. As a result, there is no doubt that these issues will figure prominently in election rhetoric, towards the goal of forcing an already susceptible Netanyahu’s hand.

  • Khan al Ahmar

    As we covered in detail in September 2018, Israel’s High Court of Justice gave the Israeli government a green light to go ahead with the forced displacement (“evacuation”) of the Palestinian Bedouin village of Khan al-Ahmar, rejecting the several petitions of the residents. For a detailed analysis of the implications of such a displacement, read more, here.

    Since that final ruling by the High Court, the government has had the authority to go take action against Khan al-Ahmar at any time. However, until now the government has refrained from doing so, thanks largely to impressive, coordinated European engagement and to the clear warning sent by the prosecutor of the International Court of Justice, characterizing the eviction, it it were to take place, as a war crime.

    Yet, Netanyahu has reportedly said that the eviction of Khan Al Ahmar would “certainly help” him and his party if it was implemented before the election. This suggests that given the domestic and international trends described above, Netanyahu may decide that on balance, he stands to win more by pandering to his political base than he stands to lose by courting a confrontation with leading European States or even by committing a war crime.

    As we wrote last September: “Europe is now facing a test and a moment of truth: if Netanyahu is permitted to carry out the eviction of Khan al-Ahmar without facing serious consequences, the credibility of the EU and European member states who led this campaign will be seriously harmed, both now and in the context of any future engagements. Hence, the imperative that there will be a robust and consequential response to the expected eviction of Khan Al Ahmar is linked not just to the fate of the village but will have direct implications on the government of Israel’s next steps, on the aggressiveness of its policy, and on the standing of Europe.”
     
  • E-1

    We have reported on E-1 many times in the past. As a review: E-1 is a settlement planned for an area on East Jerusalem’s northeastern flank (beyond the city’s municipal borders), designed to cement a contiguous block of settlements stretching from Maale Adumim to the city’s east, through Neve Yaacov and Pisgat Zeev to the north, and extending to Givat Zeev, to the northwest (download map here).

    We have described in several reports the dire threat the implementation of E-1 would  cause to the two-state solution, primarily by dismembering a potential future Palestinian state into two non-contiguous cantons and sealing off East Jerusalem from its environs in the West Bank. A more detailed analysis can be found here.

    The construction of E-1 has been prevented until now, thanks entirely to massive international pressure. The last attempt of Netanyahu to defy this international opposition was in 2012, when he announced - in retaliation for the extension of non-member status to the Palestinians at the UN - that he would move ahead with E-1 and instructed the High Planning Committee of the West Bank to deposit the plans for public review. Such publication would have started a process for final approval (the entire process taking 9 months to a year), after which tenders could have been published, permits issued, and construction commenced. Under pressure, Netanyahu ultimately backed off and did not publish the plan.

    As was the case in 2012, the implementation of E-1 today still depends solely on Netanyahu giving the green light for the publication of the plans. Once he does, the clock will start ticking toward construction; assuming Netanyahu and his government obey normal planning rules, this clock will run for up to a year -- between the resumption of planning and the publication of tenders for construction. Once the green light is given, it will be very difficult (but not impossible) to prevent the publication of tenders.
  • Givat Hamatos

    We have reported on Givat Hamatos many times in the past. As a review: this is the plan for a new settlement to be located between the existing East Jerusalem settlement/neighborhood of Gilo and the West Bank city of Bethlehem (see map, above). The first stage of Givat Hamatos plan would allow for the construction of 4500 units (the overwhelming majority of which would be for Israeli Jews, with a smattering of property that would be allotted for Palestinian landowners).

    We have described previously the potentially devastating impacts of the construction of Givat Hamatos on the two-state solution. Specifically, it would result in the complete encirclement of the East Jerusalem Palestinian neighborhood of Beit Safafa by Israeli development. As a result, it will become impossible to draw a border between Israel and Palestine based on the principle that Arab neighborhoods of the city will fall under Palestinian sovereignty, and Jewish neighborhoods under Israel sovereignty. In such circumstances, the implementation of the two state solution in Jerusalem would be impossible. A full background and map of the area can be found here.

    As we explained in our January 2017 analysis, plans for construction in Givat Hamatos have been fully approved, but tenders have not yet been published: tenders for the construction of up to 1500 of the 4500 units could be published literally at any time, based on the whim of Netanyahu. As elections approach, the chances that Netanyahu will give the order to publish these tenders rises exponentially -- and the significance of him doing so cannot be overstated. In planning terms, the publication of tenders is a Rubicon that, once crossed, is a point of no return, since at that point, third-party rights (purchasers) become involved. In short, the publication of tenders, effectively, would make the construction of Givat Hamatos a virtual certainty.

    While E-1 is larger in scope and has greater notoriety than Givat Hamatos, the danger posed by the latter is in some respects greater. Assuming Netanyahu and his government follow normal planning rules on E-1, any decision he takes on E-1 will in effect by a trip-wire that will give the world as long as a year in which to engage to try to prevent actual construction. With respect to Givat Hamatos, a move by Netanyahu won’t be a trip-wire, but rather the beginning of a series of detonations that cannot be stopped.
  • Temple Mount/Haram al-Sharif

    The ongoing crisis on and in regards to the Temple Mount/Haram al Sharif has been festering for some time and is not directly related to the elections. However, Israeli policies will no doubt be influenced by the domestic political environment. Already, the Temple Mount/Haram al Sharif is beginning to be a part of the campaign propaganda.

    Unlike the previous issues, this is not merely a potential crisis. The crisis is already here. The events are so worrying we will examine the recent events and implications at length:

    • Jordan's decision to change the composition of the Waqf Council

      In mid-February 2019, Jordan decided to change the composition of the Waqf Council (the body responsible for daily running of the Temple Mount/Haram al Sharif esplanade). Jordan added 7 new members, expanding the Council from 11 to 18 members. The decision not only enlarged the Council but, importantly, added PA and PLO representatives and local religious leaders who were involved in the 2017 protests against Israeli efforts to position metal detectors at the gates of the esplanade (for details on the identities/backgrounds of the new members, see reporting by Haaretz and Al-Monitor).

      The inclusion of PA/PLO representatives on the Council is a significant shift for Jordan, one that directly challenges Israel’s longstanding policy opposing any Palestinian political representation in Jerusalem, let alone in the administration of its holy sites. Likewise, as noted by Ofer Zalzberg of the International Crisis Group, the inclusion of local leaders - ones who enjoy credibility for their connection to protests against Israeli efforts to change the status quo on the Temple Mt/Haram al Sharif - is a shift in Jordan’s approach that appears aimed at giving the Waqf greater legitimacy in the eyes of Palestinian society, thereby enabling it to reconnect to the Palestinian “street” and potentially to gain more influence over Palestinian community leaders; putting PA representatives under the Waqf umbrella likewise serves the same objectives. Together, these shifts appear also geared to helping the Waqf counterbalance the growing cooperation between the police and the Temple Mount movement, and the ongoing assaults on and erosions of the status quo at the site.
       
    • Re-Opening Bab al Rahme

      On February 14, the new Council handed down its first decision: to defy Israeli authorities and enter the Bab al Rahme and pray there. This area on the esplanade, located near the Mercy Gate/Golden Gate, has been sealed by Israeli authorities since 2003, based on the claim that the organization managing the site, the Islamic Heritage organization, was associated with Hamas.  In response, the Israeli police intervened and closed all the gates of the Temple Mount/Haram Al Sharif. That move, which was immediately condemned by Jordan, triggered a series of clashes that resulted in the Israeli police arresting 5 Palestinians. Yet, the following Friday (February 22), Palestinians broke the lock placed at Bab al Rahme, entered the site, and held prayers inside. The Israeli police did not prevent the prayers, but retaliated by arresting, on February 24, the head of the Waqf Council, Sheikh Abdel-Azeem Salhab, and his deputy, Sheikh Najeh Bkeirat.  

      The Waqf is now asking Israel to officially allow the reopening of the site, based on the assertion that the Islamic Heritage was long ago disbanded. With Israeli police opposing opening of the site, the Waqf - in an unprecedented move - directly asked Israel’s Attorney General to get involved on its behalf. The Waqf is reportedly asking Israeli authorities to authorize three things: access of Muslim visitors to the Bab al Rahme area, maintenance works on the site, and the use of Bab al Rahme as a place of worship. The third ask is viewed by Israeli authorities as the most problematic and a breach of the status quo.This issue is already been used as a casus belli by far right-wing Knesset Member Bezalel Smotrich, who called upon Netanyahu to close the entire esplanade in retaliation for Palestinians entering the site. Minister Uri Ariel - a leader in efforts to change the status quo on the Temple Mount to permit greater Jewish access/control/freedom to worship - was also quoted saying “What’s happening at the Gate of Mercy [Golden Gate] is a major breach of the status quo, and our demand is that this matter be returned to its previous status immediately. There is no reason for Netanyahu to agree to this change and certainly not when Muslims are allowed in and Jews are not.”

      As a prime minister, Netanyahu has (until now) acted rather cautiously under similar circumstances, and at present he is no doubt aware that tensions on the Temple Mount/Haram Al Sharif could easily spin out of control and put him in a fragile situation on the eve of elections. If he chooses to resist calls from the right for provocative actions (something that is by no means certain in the heat of elections campaigning), the good news is that this will decrease the chances for escalation on the Temple Mount/Haram al Sharif; the bad news is that this will increase the risk that Netanyahu will seek to deflect criticism from his right wing challengers - just as he may try to do with respect to criticism regarding his Gaza policy - by taking provocative action on other Jerusalem-related fronts (with the most likely possibilities for such actions discussed in detail above).
       
    • Responding to Repeated Threats to the Status Quo

      Jordan’s shift of approach regarding the Waqf appears to be part of its effort to resist Israeli attempts to change the status quo on the Temple Mount/Haram al Sharif. As we reported last April, Israeli authorities have largely supported efforts by the Israeli extremists (including members of the Knesset) to de facto change the status quo. This has included authorizing opening the site up for greater Jewish access, facilitating Jewish visits, and granting Jewish visitors a degree of religious practice at the site. For a more detailed analysis of the key elements qualifying the status quo, see here.

      More recently, violations of the status quo have included the Israeli Police showing growing tolerance towards “silent” prayer by Jewish visitors and repeatedly arresting of Waqf guards (the latter being a grave deterioration of relations between Israel and the Waqf). Such an incident was reported by Ofer Zalzberg on Twitter on January 14: Waqf guards refused to allow an Israeli policeman to enter the Dome of the Rock wearing his yarmulke (the skullcap worn by religious Jews), and the policeman refused to remove it. In retaliation, the Israeli police closed the Dome of the Rock to Muslim visitors and clashes followed. After the end of the stand-off, the Israeli police arrested Waqf 4 guards and one Fatah activist. 

"Routine" Bad Things

So far, we have prioritized and focused upon the most likely and dangerous issues related to the elections. At the same time, there is not, nor will there be, a suspension of “routine” bad things happening that are unrelated to the elections. Three specific issues bear mentioning.

  • The Old City Cable Car

    One of the main and most significant development to be watched relates to the cable car. As we explained in our report at the end of January, the pace of the planning process related to the cable car has seriously accelerated: The plans for the project were deposited for public review on January 28, and the plan is expected to move to final approval at the end of March.

    It cannot be stressed enough: The 60 day-period for public review that started on January 28 is the last window of opportunity for the international community to engage in order to attempt to prevent the plan from been implemented.

    As we have warned in previous reports, this project is beyond a crass Disney-fying violation of the unique character of the Old City and its surroundings. As the Dung Gate terminal is located approximately 140 meters from the Al Aqsa Mosque, it violates the unique character of Jerusalem as a world heritage site and violates the sanctity and common sense of respect for a site that is revered by Jews and Muslims alike. For details, see our previous reports, here and here.
  • Evictions in Sheikh Jarrah, the Old City, & Silwan

    The settlers’ efforts to change the demographic border in Jerusalem in both Silwan and Sheikh Jarrah, as well as inside the Muslim Quarter of the Old City, by extending, house after house, their control over these neighborhoods, are not directly linked to the elections process. Rather, this is an ongoing and systematic attempt to change the character and fabric of life in these areas.

    These efforts, including the imminent eviction of the Sabbagh family in Sheikh Jarrah, are likely to continue at full speed in the coming months, with the full backing of the government.
  • Inflammatory Rhetoric by the Political Leadership

    Words matter. Statements such as Netanyahu declaring that there will be no further dismantling of settlements and that “the Land of Israel belongs to the Jewish people,” elicited little or no international response. This is no small matter.

    At the core of Netanyahu’s campaign is his attempt to demonstrate to the Israeli public that, over time, the world will acquiesce and the Palestinians will submit to permanent Israeli control over all of East Jerusalem and the West Bank. Failure by the international community to challenge such statements - statements that are wholly incompatible with Israel’s purported support of a negotiated settlement, and with the international community’s commitment to a two state outcome and to international law - sends a message to Israelis that Netanyahu is right. Indeed, a number of international leaders appear for all practical purposes to have joined the “Committee to Re-Elect Netanyahu.”

    It is a truism of democracy and international affairs that foreign governments should refrain from meddling in other nations’ elections -- but a course correction here is not a matter of taking sides or picking gratuitous fights with Netanyahu. Rather, it is a matter of recognizing that by failing to speak out in the face of highly problematic pronouncements by Netanyahu and others in positions of authority, the international community is discrediting its own policies, undermining the credibility of its own leadership, and validating Netanyahu’s “the world will give in to me” narrative.

13/9/2019 Q&A - ANNEXATION: WHAT HAPPENED AND DOES IT MATTER?

 


6/8/2019 The Inauguration of Silwan Tunnel: Background and Ramifications

 


9/7/2019 Is Netanyahu Displaying Restraint? The Cases of Khan al Ahmar, Givat Hamatos and E-1

 


9/7/2019 Systemic collective punishment and severe clashes in Issawiya

 


9/7/2019 The Wadi Hummus demolitions: unlike anything witnessed to date

 


9/7/2019 Clashes on Temple Mount/Haram El Sharif at the end of Ramadan/Jerusalem Day

 


9/7/2019 Final ruling validates the lease of three properties to settlers group at the Jaffa Gate

 


3/4/2019 Bab al Rahme - Tensions continue

 


3/4/2019 Joint statement of Pope Francis and Morocco’s King Mohammed VI

 


3/4/2019 Political pressure to demolish Khan Al Ahmar

 


3/4/2019 Demolitions in Shuafat

 


3/4/2019 The Jerusalem municipality and Elad jointly advance the expansion of Elad’s activities in Abu Tor

 


3/4/2019 Opening of trade offices in Jerusalem

 


28/2/2019 Jerusalem & the 2019 Israeli Elections Campaign

 


28/1/2019 Opening of the Segregated Road in Greater Jerusalem: A Major Step Towards de facto Annexation of Area C

 


28/1/2019 Accelerating the Pace for Construction of E-2

 


28/1/2019 Imminent Eviction in Sheikh Jarrah: The Sabbagh Family

 


28/1/2019 The Jerusalem Aerial Cable Car: Plan Deposited for Public Review

 


21/12/2018 Reflections on Jerusalem, One Year After Trump Policy Shift

 


21/12/2018 Australia & The Perils of Recognition in Jerusalem

 


21/12/2018 Moving Embassies - Is Brazil Next?

 


21/12/2018 Bullying the World to Accept "Undivided Jerusalem" Mantra

 


21/12/2018 A New Jerusalem Compound for Foreign Embassies?

 


26/11/2018 The 2018 Jerusalem Municipal Elections: Highlights & Lessons

 


26/11/2018 The Closure of the U.S. Consulate in Jerusalem

 


26/11/2018 A Pattern of New & Troubling Developments

 


17/10/2018 Elections in Jerusalem 2018: The Palestinian Dimension

 


11/9/2018 A Final Ruling on Khan Al-Ahmar: implications and next steps

 


11/9/2018 US Cuts Off Funding for East Jerusalem Hospitals

 


11/9/2018 Jerusalem Mayor Threatens to Expel UNRWA

 


11/9/2018 The High Holidays: Keeping a close eye on the Temple Mount

 


21/8/2018 Tenders published for 603 new units in Ramat Shlomo

 


21/8/2018 Temple Mt/Haram al Sharif: Jewish Visits - & Tensions - Increase

 


21/8/2018 Israeli Govt Opens Jewish “Heritage Center” in the heart of Silwan

 


21/8/2018 Khan Al Ahmar Update: Recent Developments

 


21/8/2018 Municipality Announces New Deal for 20k units in Jerusalem

 


17/7/2018 Major New Plans Approved for Pisgat Ze'ev

 


17/7/2018 Khan al-Ahmar Demolition Postponed

 


17/7/2018 Renewed Visits by MKs to the Temple Mt/Haram al-Sharif

 


17/7/2018 Continued Settler Efforts to Increase Construction in Silwan

 


20/6/2018 The Trump “Peace Plan” & Jerusalem

 


20/6/2018 The impact [so far] of the Transfer of the US embassy to Jerusalem

 


20/6/2018 Updates: Khan al Ahmar, Temple Mt during Ramadan, Batan al Hawa/Silwan

 


3/5/2018 UNESCO’s Latest Jerusalem Resolution - Delayed & Dampened, by Consensus

 


29/4/2018 The Changing Status Quo on the Temple Mount/Haram al-Sharif - Trends & Implications

 


29/4/2018 US Embassy Opening - Where Things Stand & Implications

 


23/3/2018 The Israeli Government’s Creation of a Settler Realm in and around Jerusalem’s Old City

 


21/2/2018 Why Is Jerusalem Municipality Targeting UN & Churches for Taxes?

 


21/2/2018 The Site for the New U.S. Embassy in Jerusalem: What You Need to Know (So Far)

 


21/2/2018 A New Neighborhood to Expand the Footprint of the settlement of Gilo

 


21/2/2018 New Checkpoint Cuts off Al-Walajeh from Lands & Spring

 


19/1/2018 Trump’s Jerusalem Decision & Its Aftermath

 


19/1/2018 New Law to Prevent Future Compromise on Jerusalem

 


19/1/2018 Pressure Mounts to Advance Greater Jerusalem bill

 


19/1/2018 New bill to Revoke Residency of Jerusalem Palestinians

 


19/1/2018 Another JNF-Linked Eviction Looms in Silwan

 


19/1/2018 Disney-fication proceeds: Jerusalem Cable Car and Footbridge

 


19/1/2018 New Jerusalem “Trump Train Station”?

 


19/1/2018 Demolitions in East Jerusalem

 


19/1/2018 More Jews Going to the Temple Mount/Haram al Sharif

 


14/12/2017 Trump's New Jerusalem Policy: Early Assessment

 


13/12/2017 Will Jerusalem Recognition Beget Sustained, Serious Violence? Too Soon to Say.

 


13/12/2017 Amendment to Jerusalem Basic Law Moves Forward

 


13/12/2017 Planned Demolitions in Kafr Aqab

 


13/12/2017 Historic Basin Cable Car Project Advances

 


13/12/2017 Another Jerusalem-Area Bedouin Community Under Threat

 


13/12/2017 Tightening the Noose Around Walajeh

 


30/10/2017 Bibi Blinks on Greater Jerusalem Bill; July 1 - Oct 30 EJ Settlements Chronology

 


3/10/2017 Imminent Threat: Green Light for Givat Hamatos

 


3/10/2017 Imminent Threat: Potential War Crime; de facto Annexation and New Settlement Construction (Ma’ale Adumim/E-1)

 


3/10/2017 Uptick is Settlement Displacements: Shamasneh Family Evicted

 


3/10/2017 Expansion of Nof Zion on the Agenda

 


10/8/2017 Netanyahu Unshackled: New and dangerous terms of engagement in Jerusalem

 


10/8/2017 The Latest Temple Mt/Haram al-Sharif Crisis: A Provisional Post-Mortem

 


10/8/2017 Pending Jerusalem Legislative Initiatives: Strategic Shifts in Current Status & Potential Political Future of Jerusalem

 


10/8/2017 East Jerusalem Settlements -- APPROVED

 


21/7/2017 Major New Crisis on the Temple Mount/Haram al Sharif

 


21/7/2017 New Life for Major Settlement Plan to Connect Adam (West Bank) to EJ's Neve Yaacov

 


21/7/2017 Proposed Amendment of Jerusalem Basic Law

 


21/7/2017 UNESCO’s Resolution on Hebron

 


5/7/2017 The Settlement Floodgates Have Been Opened

 


5/6/2017 Trump Signs Waiver, Postponing Embassy Move

 


5/6/2017 Trump Visit & Jerusalem Day: Before, During, & After

 


5/6/2017 Cabinet Approves Projects for Old City, Historic Basin, & East Jerusalem (Inside the Barrier)

 


5/6/2017 Jordan's Growing Discontent with Israeli Provocations Over the Temple Mount/al-Haram al-Sharif

 


5/6/2017 Danny Seidemann in Haaretz: Trump Exposed the Fantasy of Netanyahu's 'Undivided Jerusalem'

 


5/5/2017 URGENT/BREAKING NEWS: Imminent Tenders for Givat Hamatos

 


5/5/2017 Imminent Announcements: Atarot & Ramat Shlomo

 


5/5/2017 New Settler “Visitors’ Center” in Ras El Amud

 


5/5/2017 The New UNESCO Resolution & Jerusalem

 


28/3/2017 Working Toward a New US-Israel Understanding on Settlements

 


28/3/2017 Tensions Growing [again] Focused on Temple Mount/Haram al Sharif

 


28/3/2017 Palestinian Residency Rights: Important Court Ruling

 


24/2/2017 Limiting Settlement Construction to the "Blocs" - Implications for Jerusalem

 


24/2/2017 To Move, or Not to Move (the Embassy), That is the Question

 


24/2/2017 Paving the way for annexation?

 


24/2/2017 Work Starting on Eastern Ring Road?

 


24/1/2017 East Jerusalem Settlement Activity & the Onset of the Trump Era: What to Watch

 


5/1/2017 Moving the U.S. Embassy in Israel to Jerusalem: A Hard Look at the Arguments & Implications

 


14/12/2016 Update on Israeli Govt-Proposed Law to Muzzle Muslim Call to Prayer

 


14/12/2016 Rumors & Lobbying Around Possible US Embassy Relocation to Jerusalem

 


14/12/2016 Netanyahu Rejects Police Recommendations to Tweak Temple Mt Status Quo

 


14/12/2016 Batan al-Hawa - New B'tselem Report on Settler Activities

 


14/12/2016 Final Approval of Gilo Expansion - 770 New Units (Mordot Gilo South)

 


30/11/2016 Insights/analysis on UNESCO resolutions on the Old City & its Walls

 


30/11/2016 Re: Reported Demolitions at Jerusalem's Bab Al-Rahma Cemetery

 


30/11/2016 Plan to Connect Tel Aviv to the Western Wall

 


30/11/2016 2016 Jewish High Holidays: Record number of Jewish visitors on Temple Mount/Haram El Sharif

 


28/11/2016 The American Role: Interregnum & Post-January 20, 2016

 


28/11/2016 Ban on Mosque Morning Call to Prayer

 


28/11/2016 Turning Jeruasalem Palestinians into “Human Shields” Against Outpost Evacuations

 


28/11/2016 Announcement of Construction Plan in Mordot Gilo

 


28/11/2016 OCHA report: 180 Palestinian households at risks of eviction in East Jerusalem

 


28/11/2016 Approval of 500 units in Ramat Shlomo

 


28/11/2016 State Comptroller’s Report on Elad

 


30/9/2016 On the Eve of the New Year – A Different & Dangerous Jerusalem

 


15/8/2016 Government Actively Advancing E-2

 


15/8/2016 Back in the Headlines: Plans for 2500 Units South of Gilo

 


15/8/2016 Tisha B'Av Incitement Re: The Temple Mount

 


15/8/2016 Deepening the Occupation in East Jerusalem

 


5/8/2016 Settlement Announcements - July 2016

 


5/8/2016 The Uptick in East Jerusalem Demolitions

 


5/8/2016 Israeli Govt: "The Mt of Olives will be Reinforced as a Visitors' Site"

 


5/8/2016 Ma'ale Adumim Annexation bill

 


8/7/2016 Full Analysis of the Latest East Jerusalem Announcements/Approvals

 


28/6/2016 A new settlement enclave in Silwan – Batan al Hawa

 


28/6/2016 ?The end of quiet on the Temple Mount/Haram al Sharif

 


28/6/2016 The Wrong Way to Divide Jerusalem

 


3/6/2016 Proposed Annexation of Maale Adumim

 


3/6/2016 East Jerusalem: Emerging Patterns

 


2/6/2016 Keeping a Close Eye on the Temple Mount/Haram al Sharif

 


22/1/2016 Church Attacked (Again) in Jerusalem

 


22/1/2016 Herzog proposes De-Annexing Some Parts of East Jerusalem

 


30/12/2015 Revealed in Newly-Released Documents: Massive Planning Advancing for Settlements

 


29/12/2015 Understanding "Status Quo" on the Temple Mount/Haram al Sharif

 


9/11/2015 What's Been Going On in Jerusalem? Danny Seidemann Analysis

 


9/11/2015 What's Going On? Senior IDF Officials Weigh In.

 


9/11/2015 Recent East Jerusalem Settlement Developments

 


9/11/2015 East Jerusalem Security Situation - by the numbers

 


9/11/2015 EJ Security Situation - Plans to Revoke Palestinians' Residency?

 


9/11/2015 EJ Security Situation - Security Measures on the Ground

 


9/11/2015 EJ Security Situation - Home Demolitions

 


22/9/2015 Jerusalem & the Temple Mount: A New Dangerous Escalation

 


13/8/2015 Imminent New Settlement Enclave in Silwan

 


13/8/2015 E. Jerusalem (partial) Settlement Freeze May Soon Defrost

 


13/8/2015 Troubling Developments on the Temple Mount/Haram al Sharif

 


22/5/2015 What We Can Learn from Jerusalem Day 2015

 


22/5/2015 Latest Settlement Tenders in East Jerusalem - Ramat Shlomo & Givat Zeev

 


22/5/2015 ?E-1 Looming

 


22/5/2015 East Jerusalem Simmers

 


29/4/2015 New & Recycled East Jerusalem Settlement Tenders

 


29/4/2015 High Court Rules on Absentee Property Law in Jerusalem

 


29/4/2015 Good News: IDF Colleges NOT Moving to Mount of Olives; Holy Basin Cable Car Plan Stalled

 


29/4/2015 Approval (but only sort of) of New Palestinian Construction in East Jerusalem

 


29/4/2015 Some Palestinian Cars Allowed in East Jerusalem

 


29/4/2015 Palestinian Security Forces (not really) allowed in East Jerusalem

 


14/1/2015 East Jerusalem at the Beginning of 2015: Things to Watch

 


3/11/2014 Attempted Assassination Raises the Stakes at the Temple Mount

 


3/11/2014 Reasons Behind Escalating Temple Mount Crisis

 


3/11/2014 Bibi's New Settlement Initiative - Ramat Shlomo & Har Homa

 


3/11/2014 More Settler Takeovers in Another Part of Silwan

 


2/10/2014 Netanyahu Cannot Evade Responsibility for Givat Hamatos Approval & Silwan Takeovers

 


1/10/2014 Breaking & Urgent News: Givat Hamatos Approved

 


30/9/2014 Major Development: In Overnight Operation, Settlers Take Over Multiple Buildings in Silwan

 


18/9/2014 Specter of E-1 Raised by Plan to Relocate Bedouin

 


18/9/2014 Looming Crisis in East Jerusalem - Givat Hamatos

 


17/9/2014 East Jerusalem Clashes Continue

 


9/9/2014 East Jerusalem Aflame

 


4/9/2014 The Real Story about those new units "approved" for Palestinians in East Jerusalem

 


26/8/2014 Gilo Tenders Awarded, but (for now) EJ Settlement Freeze Continues

 


19/5/2014 Jerusalem Settlements - The (Proximate, Contributing) Cause of the Collapse

 


19/5/2014 Post-Collapse - De Facto Freeze in East Jerusalem, But the Lull Won’t Last

 


19/5/2014 Are We Sliding Toward Religious War? A Brief Survey of Key Jerusalem Developments/Trends

 


5/3/2014 Framework Language and Jerusalem: Gimmicks Are NOT the Answer

 


5/3/2014 New Israeli Yeshiva Approved...in Downtown Sheikh Jarrah

 


5/3/2014 Playing with Fire, Part 2: Elad Set to Gain Control of Area Adjacent to the Temple Mt/Haram al Sharif

 


5/3/2014 Playing with Fire, Part 1: Debating the Status Quo on the Temple Mount

 


3/3/2014 Demolition orders in E-1

 


9/1/2014 New Seidemann Op-Ed in the Guardian: The myth of an undivided Jerusalem is collapsing under its own weight

 


12/12/2013 Danny Seidemann Injured by Stone-Thrower - Condition Update & Comment

 


12/12/2013 East Jerusalem Settlements since the Resumption of Talks: the Facts & their Implications

 


12/12/2013 The [Apparent] Re-Emergence of the “Greater Jerusalem” Gimmick

 


12/12/2013 Post-Script: Those Planning Tenders for 24,000 New Settlement Units

 


27/8/2013 Ramat Shlomo Back in the Headlines

 


27/8/2013 Funding Approved for Settler-Run Projects in Silwan and Jebel Mukabber

 


27/8/2013 Three Palestinians Killed by Israeli Forces in Qalandia RC

 


27/8/2013 ?Uptick in East Jerusalem Home Demolitions

 


19/8/2013 Pyromaniacs Target the Temple Mount

 


19/8/2013 Jerusalem Residency Concerns Resurface

 


19/8/2013 New Pro-Settlement Guidelines on Absentee Property Law

 


19/8/2013 A U.S. Court Rules on Jerusalem

 


16/8/2013 Timeline/details of Recent Jerusalem-Related Settlement Developments

 


16/8/2013 Bibi, Settlements & Peace Talks -- Analysis

 


13/6/2013 The A-Zayyem/Mount of Olives Interchange, Plan 14049

 


13/6/2013 Tenders Awarded for Ramot Expansion, Additional Tenders for Mordot Gilo

 


13/6/2013 Everything You Need to Know About Jerusalem & the Absentee Property Law

 


7/5/2013 The IDF Colleges on the Mt. of Olives Off the Agenda, Again

 


7/5/2013 Plans Published for Old City Cable Car

 


7/5/2013 Sharansky Plan Hits a Wall, no pun intended

 


7/5/2013 The Wall/Barrier vs. Cremisan & Beit Jala

 


5/5/2013 Spatial Shaping in J'lem Continues with Opening of Route 20

 


24/4/2013 Concerns about Proposed “Solution” to Women’s Prayer Issue at the Western Wall

 


22/4/2013 The Politics of Waste Treatment in East Jerusalem

 


15/4/2013 Fifty New Units in East Talpiot

 


14/1/2013 E-1/Bab ash-Shams: What Happened, What it Means, What Next

 


28/12/2012 Mordot Gilo South - APPROVED

 


19/12/2012 Givat Hamatos APPROVED - What it Means

 


17/12/2012 Breaking News - Approvals this week - Ramat Shlomo & Givat Hamatos

 


5/12/2012 The E-1 Crisis...This Is Not a Drill

 


6/11/2012 More than 1200 New Tenders Issued for Pisgat Ze'ev and Ramot

 


31/10/2012 New Construction Approved in Har Homa

 


30/10/2012 New East Jerusalem Settlement Construction Approved - East Talpiot units for Israeli Security Personnel

 


24/10/2012 Mordot Gilo Construction Approved

 


24/10/2012 Plans for IDF Colleges on Mt. of Olives Deposited for Public Review & Explanation of Location

 


24/10/2012 Taking the Garbage to East Jerusalem

 


24/10/2012 Is the Palestinian Population of East Jerusalem Becoming More Israeli -- No

 


24/10/2012 Pisgat Zeev in the News

 


18/10/2012 Crisis Brewing on the Temple Mount

 


17/9/2012 Jerusalem, Netanyahu and the two-state solution

 


16/9/2012 Issue to watch: East Jerusalem Home Demolitions

 


16/9/2012 Attacks on Palestinians in Jerusalem – Sign of the “Hebronization” of the City

 


16/9/2012 Jerusalem in the Headlines: Ras al-Amud, Temple Mount, the Barrier, Elad, & Har Homa

 


15/9/2012 Jerusalem: Political Football in U.S. Presidential Race

 


14/9/2012 In Memorium: Our Friend, Chris Stevens

 


2/7/2012 New Tenders Published for East Jerusalem Settlement Construction

 


2/7/2012 Plans for New IDF War College on the Mt. of Olives Approved for Public Review

 


11/6/2012 Settlement Surge Continues on Jerusalem's Southern Flank

 


8/5/2012 Arab VIPs Start Coming to Jerusalem

 


7/5/2012 Givat Hamatos – Nearing the Point-of-No-Return

 


7/5/2012 IDF College on the Mt. of Olives – Moving Forward

 


7/5/2012 Kidmat Tzion – Municipal Approval Anticipated Soon

 


7/5/2012 Mughrabi Ramp – Some Good News

 


6/5/2012 Beit Hanina Settlement Effort Continues

 


10/4/2012 Late Winter Freeze in East Jerusalem turns to Spring Thaw

 


8/4/2012 Kidmat Tziyon Settlement Scheme to be Expedited

 


8/4/2012 New East Jerusalem “Park” Soon to get Final Approval

 


8/4/2012 New Settlement in Beit Hanina?

 


8/4/2012 Israeli High Court Rejects Shepherd’s Hotel Appeal

 


14/3/2012 Will Arab & Muslim Leaders Start Coming to Jerusalem?


 


14/3/2012 A Major East Jerusalem Settlement Plan Comes Back to Life

 


14/3/2012 Spotlight on Jewish Access to the Temple Mount

 


14/3/2012 Volatility in Silwan: Mini-Intifada Continues, Cave-Ins, and New Settler Plans

 


9/1/2012 The Ongoing Settlement Surge in East Jerusalem

 


9/1/2012 The Mughrabi Gate Saga - Update

 


10/12/2011 Barkat Tries to Force Mughrabi Ramp Demolition

 


9/12/2011 Approval of Mount Scopus "Park" Proceeds

 


13/10/2011 Approval for New Israeli Settlement at Givat Hamatos Proceeds

 


12/10/2011 New Pisgat Ze'ev Building Permits

 


28/9/2011 New Settlement Approval issued for Gilo - Plan 13261

 


11/8/2011 More Jerusalem Settlement Approvals: Ramat Shlomo, Pisgat Zeev, Givat Hamatos

 


10/8/2011 Yet Another Har Homa Plan Approved (No. 12825) - Public Buildings, 50 Units

 


5/8/2011 Har Homa C Plan 10310 (app. 983 units) Approved

 


9/7/2011 Jerusalem Municipal "Approval" of Mordot Gilo Plan

 


9/7/2011 Meretz Rejoins Municipal Coalition - Separate Portfolios for EJ Settlers and Palestinians

 


20/6/2011 The Ramat Shlomo House Extension Plans

 


10/6/2011 Committee for Acceleration of (EJ) Construction to Convene on June 14

 


24/5/2011 Netanyahu Approves East Jerusalem Construction Hours Before Obama Address

 


24/5/2011 Barkat Trying to Force Netanyahu's Hand on Mughrabi Ramp

 


12/5/2011 The Non-Existent Court Decision on Bustan Demolitions

 


10/5/2011 New East Jerusalem Settlements Update

 


9/5/2011 US Supreme Court to Hear Jerusalem Status Case

 


21/4/2011 Is There a De Facto Settlement Freeze in East Jerusalem? The Facts

 


18/4/2011 April Surge in East Jerusalem Construction Plans

 


18/4/2011 Mount Scopus Slopes Park Approved for Public Review

 


16/3/2011 Permit Issued for 14 Units at Ras el Amud Police Station

 


16/3/2011 Permit Issued for Mughrabi Ramp

 

17/10/2018 Jerusalem Elections 2018 - the Palestinian Dimension

 


29/7/2013 A Layman's Guide to Jerusalem House Demolitions
Daniel Seidemann

 


29/7/2013 A Laymen's Guide to the Planning Process in Jerusalem.pdf
Daniel Seidmann

 


20/3/2013 "Spatial Shaping", the Ross Agenda and a Partial Settlement Freeze
Daniel Seidmann

 


10/3/2013 Spatial Shaping - Unilaterally Determining Israel’s Base-Line Border
Daniel Seidmann

 


10/9/2012 NOREF Policy Brief August 2012 | By Daniel Seidemann
Daniel Seidemann

 


30/1/2012 East Jerusalem and the Imminent Demise of the Two-State Solution
Daniel Seidemann

 


7/11/2011 East Jerusalem Developments and Trends: 2006-2011
Daniel Seidemann

 


31/10/2011 The TJ Guide to the Planning and Construction Process in East Jerusalem - Oct. 2011
Daniel Seidemann

 


15/10/2011 Givat Hamatos/Mordot Gilo: New Settlement Schemes on Jerusalem's Southern Flank
Daniel Seidemann

 


12/8/2011 U.S. (non)-Recognition of Sovereignty in Jerusalem: A Consistent Policy, 1948 - 2011
Lara Friedman

 


1/8/2011 Hanging On By Our Fingernails
Daniel Seidemann

 


22/2/2011 Jerusalem Challenges the API
Daniel Seidemann

 


21/2/2011 East Jerusalem settlers and Israel's never-ending War of Independence
Daniel Seidemann

 


20/2/2011 The Two Jerusalems
D. Seidemann D.Rothem

 


19/2/2011 Jerusalem on the Brink
Daniel Seidemann

 


19/2/2011 A barely tolerated minority
Daniel Seidemann

 


17/2/2011 Redeeming Jerusalem by truth, not hollow slogans
Daniel Seidemann

 


16/2/2011 Jerusalem, settlements, and the "everybody knows" fallacy
Lara Friedman - Daniel Seidemann

 


15/2/2011 Blogposts
Lara Friedman
 
 
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